THE SIGNALS LIBRARY · SECTOR
Interest Rates
Every interest rates signal on the site, grouped by market. Within each market the strongest signals appear first.
PROTOTYPE entries have a working version on the legacy davidstendahl.com site and are being ported here. QUEUED entries are in build.
1 live · 0 prototype · 193 queued
10Y Note (TY)
0/75 LIVE
Z40056Ty Foreign Tic Flow z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 8 of 15 major market crashes (53%), with an average early warning of 206 trading days (41 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer A- | article B+
BacktestThe signal detected 8 of 15 major market crashes (53%), with an average early warning of 206 trading days (41 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer A- / article B+. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102213Ty Curve Slope 10s2s Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 24 major market crashes (50%), with an average early warning of 69 trading days (14 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 24 major market crashes (50%), with an average early warning of 69 trading days (14 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z99221Ty Nbim US Equity Tilt Delta z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 18 major market crashes (78%), with an average early warning of 389 trading days (78 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 18 major market crashes (78%), with an average early warning of 389 trading days (78 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102220Ty Dgs3mo Dgs10 Recession Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 24 major market crashes (54%), with an average early warning of 84 trading days (17 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article B
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 24 major market crashes (54%), with an average early warning of 84 trading days (17 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10305Ty Regime Cond R5 RatesQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 75 trading days (15 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 75 trading days (15 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10303Ty Seasonal StabilityQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 75 trading days (15 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 75 trading days (15 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5079Ty Soma CompositionQUEUED
The signal detected 10 of 15 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 964 trading days (193 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B+
BacktestThe signal detected 10 of 15 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 964 trading days (193 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B+. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102305Ty Advm3 Capex Surprise Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 24 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 64 trading days (13 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 24 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 64 trading days (13 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z101026Ty Auction Tail z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 16 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 49 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 16 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 49 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10304Ty Seasonal PeakQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 44 trading days (9 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B+
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 44 trading days (9 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B+. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z8323Ty T014QUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 44 trading days (9 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B+
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 44 trading days (9 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B+. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102332Ty Econ Surprise Blend Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 20 of 24 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 77 trading days (15 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 20 of 24 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 77 trading days (15 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33819Ty Walcl Qt Pace z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 14 major market crashes (86%), with an average early warning of 619 trading days (124 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 14 major market crashes (86%), with an average early warning of 619 trading days (124 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5771Ty Swt D8+ Long CycleQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 21 major market crashes (86%), with an average early warning of 145 trading days (29 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 21 major market crashes (86%), with an average early warning of 145 trading days (29 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5842Ty Macro Fed Reaction Function RegimeQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 24 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 1872 trading days (374 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 24 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 1872 trading days (374 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85396Ty CFTC Ust 4w Change z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 21 trading days (4 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer B+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 21 trading days (4 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer B+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33509Ty the Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index Credit Stress z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 24 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 170 trading days (34 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer B+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 24 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 170 trading days (34 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer B+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z13089Ty US Rates Tail Transmitter Receiver SwitchQUEUED
The signal detected 11 of 15 major market crashes (73%), with an average early warning of 43 trading days (9 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 11 of 15 major market crashes (73%), with an average early warning of 43 trading days (9 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102209Ty Acm Term Premium Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 24 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 47 trading days (9 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 24 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 47 trading days (9 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5769Ty Wavelet Coherence DollarQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 15 major market crashes (87%), with an average early warning of 91 trading days (18 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 15 major market crashes (87%), with an average early warning of 91 trading days (18 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33508Ty Cpi Median Vs Headline z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 24 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 161 trading days (32 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Inflation | TruthSayer B | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 24 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 161 trading days (32 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Inflation. TruthSayer B / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102217Ty Breakeven 10y Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 10 of 16 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 49 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer B | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 10 of 16 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 49 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer B / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85294Ty CFTC Ust10y Net z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 21 of 23 major market crashes (91%), with an average early warning of 200 trading days (40 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 21 of 23 major market crashes (91%), with an average early warning of 200 trading days (40 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6259TY Auction Proxy YoYQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 18 major market crashes (72%), with an average early warning of 416 trading days (83 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Positioning | TruthSayer B- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 18 major market crashes (72%), with an average early warning of 416 trading days (83 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Positioning. TruthSayer B- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5077Ty Term StructureQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 24 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 230 trading days (46 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 24 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 230 trading days (46 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6252TY COT Velocity ProxyQUEUED
The signal detected 23 of 24 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 56 trading days (11 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 23 of 24 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 56 trading days (11 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40145Ty US Lead Momentum 5d z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 12 trading days (2 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer B- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 12 trading days (2 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer B- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z90016TY Regime Asymmetric RoleQUEUED
The signal detected 10 of 24 major market crashes (42%), with an average early warning of 292 trading days (58 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 10 of 24 major market crashes (42%), with an average early warning of 292 trading days (58 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85291Ty Dgs10 Yield z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 24 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 114 trading days (23 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 24 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 114 trading days (23 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33510Ty Em HY OAS Stress z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 20 major market crashes (85%), with an average early warning of 156 trading days (31 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 20 major market crashes (85%), with an average early warning of 156 trading days (31 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3807Zn HY OAS Flight QualityQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 21 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 118 trading days (24 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 21 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 118 trading days (24 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3966Zn HY OAS SafehavenQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 21 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 118 trading days (24 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 21 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 118 trading days (24 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40066Ty Vs Jgb basis z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 9 of 15 major market crashes (60%), with an average early warning of 256 trading days (51 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 9 of 15 major market crashes (60%), with an average early warning of 256 trading days (51 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33506Ty Acm Term Premium Regime z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 24 major market crashes (79%), with an average early warning of 70 trading days (14 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 24 major market crashes (79%), with an average early warning of 70 trading days (14 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6256TY Real vs BreakevenQUEUED
The signal detected 10 of 24 major market crashes (42%), with an average early warning of 142 trading days (28 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 10 of 24 major market crashes (42%), with an average early warning of 142 trading days (28 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85296Ty Realized Vol z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 21 of 24 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 21 of 24 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10309Ty Mentor RulesQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10306Ty StabilityQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10307Ty Trader PulseQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33030Ty Term Premium z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 15 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 15 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40143Ty US Lead Momentum z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102346Ty 3m10y Sahm Recession Composite z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 24 major market crashes (50%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 24 major market crashes (50%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6250TY Yield 200-day MA StateQUEUED
The signal detected 4 of 24 major market crashes (17%), with an average early warning of 82 trading days (16 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 4 of 24 major market crashes (17%), with an average early warning of 82 trading days (16 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3963Zn Dgs10 InverseQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 24 major market crashes (54%), with an average early warning of 246 trading days (49 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 24 major market crashes (54%), with an average early warning of 246 trading days (49 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6257TY Vol GapQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 24 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 41 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 24 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 41 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40134Ty Acmtp10 z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 24 major market crashes (79%), with an average early warning of 70 trading days (14 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 24 major market crashes (79%), with an average early warning of 70 trading days (14 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85293Ty 2s10s Curve z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 24 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 167 trading days (33 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 24 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 167 trading days (33 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40070Ty Breakeven Inflation z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 15 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 82 trading days (16 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 15 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 82 trading days (16 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40144Ty Tu Lead Momentum z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 31 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 31 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33816Ty T5yie Breakeven z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 14 major market crashes (86%), with an average early warning of 140 trading days (28 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 14 major market crashes (86%), with an average early warning of 140 trading days (28 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z4121Zn Acm Path Vel InvQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 11 trading days (2 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 11 trading days (2 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85398Ty Momentum 20d z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 28 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z100070Ty Rates Pid Peer SynergyQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 18 major market crashes (89%), with an average early warning of 34 trading days (7 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 18 major market crashes (89%), with an average early warning of 34 trading days (7 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z100060Ty Energy GIRF ResponderQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 6 trading days (1 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 6 trading days (1 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33511Ty US Bund Spread Regime z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 20 of 24 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 63 trading days (13 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C | article A+
BacktestThe signal detected 20 of 24 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 63 trading days (13 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C / article A+. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3806Zn Kw 10y Term PremiumQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 24 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 56 trading days (11 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 24 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 56 trading days (11 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33814Ty Dgs30 Level z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 19 major market crashes (84%), with an average early warning of 77 trading days (15 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 19 major market crashes (84%), with an average early warning of 77 trading days (15 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z32942Ty Credit GIRF ResponderQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 17 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 9 trading days (2 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 17 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 9 trading days (2 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33815Ty Dgs5 Level z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 19 major market crashes (95%), with an average early warning of 67 trading days (13 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 19 major market crashes (95%), with an average early warning of 67 trading days (13 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85295Ty Move Index z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85397Ty Move Overlay z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z11261Ty Ty T012 Foreign Demand Japan China EUQUEUED
The signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 282 trading days (56 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 282 trading days (56 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z11262Ty Ty T015 Qt Periods Bearish Ty TreasuryQUEUED
The signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 282 trading days (56 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 282 trading days (56 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z101085Ty Ust10y Level z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 6 of 24 major market crashes (25%), with an average early warning of 337 trading days (67 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 6 of 24 major market crashes (25%), with an average early warning of 337 trading days (67 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85292Ty 10y Breakeven z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 16 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 146 trading days (29 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 16 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 146 trading days (29 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5766Ty Kalman Dollar Sign Flip 1994QUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 21 major market crashes (76%), with an average early warning of 66 trading days (13 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 21 major market crashes (76%), with an average early warning of 66 trading days (13 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z100061Ty Dollar GIRF ResponderQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 6 trading days (1 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 6 trading days (1 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33813Ty Dgs2 Fedfunds Spread z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 34 trading days (7 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 34 trading days (7 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z100076Ty LPPLS Bubble RiskQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 18 major market crashes (89%), with an average early warning of 39 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 18 major market crashes (89%), with an average early warning of 39 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5767Ty Kalman Geopolitical Sign Flip 1990QUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 21 major market crashes (76%), with an average early warning of 66 trading days (13 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 21 major market crashes (76%), with an average early warning of 66 trading days (13 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33818Ty US Bund Spread z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 19 major market crashes (79%), with an average early warning of 68 trading days (14 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 19 major market crashes (79%), with an average early warning of 68 trading days (14 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85566Ty Dfii10 Overlay z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 155 trading days (31 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 155 trading days (31 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33503Ty Fomc Ff Implied Cuts z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 24 major market crashes (79%), with an average early warning of 67 trading days (13 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer D | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 24 major market crashes (79%), with an average early warning of 67 trading days (13 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer D / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z1544Ty US 10y Velocity z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 23 of 24 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 52 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer D | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 23 of 24 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 52 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer D / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102316Ty Btos Labor Churn Real Time Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 1 of 1 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 122 trading days (24 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | article C
BacktestThe signal detected 1 of 1 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 122 trading days (24 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer D / article C. · tested 2026-09-30
10Y NOTE (TY) MARKET·Credit & Rates
Included in playbooks — coming soon
2Y Note (TU)
0/18 LIVE
Z5758Tu Reflex Overall Rejects MdsQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 324 trading days (65 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 324 trading days (65 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10297Tu Seasonal PeakQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 61 trading days (12 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 61 trading days (12 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6239TU Auction Proxy YoYQUEUED
The signal detected 10 of 14 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 480 trading days (96 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 10 of 14 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 480 trading days (96 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z101086Tu Personality z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 16 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 167 trading days (33 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B+
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 16 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 167 trading days (33 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B+. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85406Tu CFTC Ust 4w Change z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 21 trading days (4 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 21 trading days (4 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6232TU COT Velocity ProxyQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z8313Tu T005QUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10302Tu Mentor RulesQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z8827Tu Product Fundamentals I6 Quality DimensionsQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z8828Tu Product Fundamentals I6 Quality DimensionsQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10300Tu Trader PulseQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z8316Tu Truth Macro Tu T010QUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 29 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3978Zt Dgs2 InverseQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 16 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 285 trading days (57 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 16 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 285 trading days (57 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85303Tu Dgs2 Yield z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 16 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 217 trading days (43 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 16 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 217 trading days (43 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85582ACMTP02 Term PremiumQUEUED
2Y Note Z-signal, ACMTP02 (2Y term premium) z-score (inverted). Engine on disk at C:/Projects/Z 85582/. Phase 0 non-overlap IC against TU confirmed; polarity flipped Task #58 2026-11-03.
BacktestTruthSayer C+. · tested 2026-09-27
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & Rates
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102222Tu CFTC Fed Funds Positioning Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 9 of 16 major market crashes (56%), with an average early warning of 83 trading days (17 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | article C
BacktestThe signal detected 9 of 16 major market crashes (56%), with an average early warning of 83 trading days (17 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer D / article C. · tested 2026-09-29
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & Rates
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102210Tu Fomc Sep Dispersion Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 1 of 1 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 55 trading days (11 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | article D
BacktestThe signal detected 1 of 1 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 55 trading days (11 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer F / article D. · tested 2026-09-29
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & Rates
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5743Tu Yield Curve Inversion Recession PrecursorQUEUED
archetype: Regime Specialist | article C-
Backtestarchetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Curve Structure. TruthSayer C / article C-. · tested 2026-09-29
2Y NOTE (TU) MARKET·Credit & Rates
Included in playbooks — coming soon
30Y Bond
1/78 LIVE
Z7918[BO] US Crush Pace vs 22 Mt/yr Capacity
US soybean crush pace approaching the historical 22 Mt/yr capacity ceiling tightens BO and soybean meal byproduct availability and firms CBOT BO.
BacktestThe signal detected 26 of 26 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 61 trading days (12 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
SOYBEAN OIL SPECIALIST·Oilseed / Crush CapacityForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33012US Foreign Tic Flow z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 21 major market crashes (57%), with an average early warning of 182 trading days (36 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer A- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 21 major market crashes (57%), with an average early warning of 182 trading days (36 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer A- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85290US Fedfunds 12m Chg z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 20 major market crashes (65%), with an average early warning of 669 trading days (134 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer B+ | article B+
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 20 major market crashes (65%), with an average early warning of 669 trading days (134 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer B+ / article B+. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5781US News Amplifier ObservationalQUEUED
The signal detected 22 of 24 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 451 trading days (90 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 22 of 24 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 451 trading days (90 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7754US Strike On Cartels ViolenceQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 23 major market crashes (57%), with an average early warning of 331 trading days (66 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article B
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 23 major market crashes (57%), with an average early warning of 331 trading days (66 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7414US Jgb Cross Currency DurationQUEUED
The signal detected 7 of 25 major market crashes (28%), with an average early warning of 140 trading days (28 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer B+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 7 of 25 major market crashes (28%), with an average early warning of 140 trading days (28 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer B+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7051US Chip Export Controls TighteningQUEUED
The signal detected 11 of 21 major market crashes (52%), with an average early warning of 142 trading days (28 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 11 of 21 major market crashes (52%), with an average early warning of 142 trading days (28 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10311US Seasonal PeakQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 50 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 50 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z8326US T014QUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 50 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 50 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5843US Macro Federal Deficit 6pct Bear Steepener RegimeQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 24 major market crashes (50%), with an average early warning of 151 trading days (30 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 24 major market crashes (50%), with an average early warning of 151 trading days (30 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7238US Restriction On Chinese Uco importsQUEUED
The signal detected 21 of 26 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 507 trading days (101 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer B+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 21 of 26 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 507 trading days (101 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer B+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40076US Auction Bidcover z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 17 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 56 trading days (11 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 17 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 56 trading days (11 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102224US Soma Tips Share z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 5 of 20 major market crashes (25%), with an average early warning of 149 trading days (30 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 5 of 20 major market crashes (25%), with an average early warning of 149 trading days (30 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102348US Debt Gdp Trajectory z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 25 major market crashes (60%), with an average early warning of 67 trading days (13 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 25 major market crashes (60%), with an average early warning of 67 trading days (13 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z31037US Reservoir Storage CompositeQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 22 major market crashes (77%), with an average early warning of 80 trading days (16 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 22 major market crashes (77%), with an average early warning of 80 trading days (16 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7921US Corn Belt DroughtQUEUED
The signal detected 20 of 25 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 201 trading days (40 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 20 of 25 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 201 trading days (40 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102113US Nyfed Triparty Tsy P10 Haircut z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 8 of 17 major market crashes (47%), with an average early warning of 68 trading days (14 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 8 of 17 major market crashes (47%), with an average early warning of 68 trading days (14 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102225US Dgs20 Dgs10 Super Long Slope Inv z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 24 major market crashes (54%), with an average early warning of 51 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article B+
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 24 major market crashes (54%), with an average early warning of 51 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B+. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5044US Refinery UtilizationQUEUED
The signal detected 22 of 23 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 62 trading days (12 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B
BacktestThe signal detected 22 of 23 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 62 trading days (12 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7345US Trade Dependency 75 Canadian exportsQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 22 major market crashes (55%), with an average early warning of 63 trading days (13 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B | article B
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 22 major market crashes (55%), with an average early warning of 63 trading days (13 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B / article B. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7551US Trucking Freight Diesel 50 Of Ho DemaQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 24 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 24 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z1444US Tic Foreign Bond Demand z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 21 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 564 trading days (113 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B | article B+
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 21 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 564 trading days (113 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B / article B+. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z8052US Srw Domestic Flour Milling Feed UseQUEUED
The signal detected 26 of 26 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 65 trading days (13 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer B | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 26 of 26 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 65 trading days (13 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer B / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10312US Regime Cond R5 RatesQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 25 major market crashes (68%), with an average early warning of 74 trading days (15 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 25 major market crashes (68%), with an average early warning of 74 trading days (15 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10310US Seasonal StabilityQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 25 major market crashes (68%), with an average early warning of 74 trading days (15 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 25 major market crashes (68%), with an average early warning of 74 trading days (15 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z299US Dollar LiquidityQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 17 major market crashes (82%), with an average early warning of 69 trading days (14 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 17 major market crashes (82%), with an average early warning of 69 trading days (14 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7627US Bread Flour Milling Adm Mills Gm ConaQUEUED
The signal detected 26 of 26 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 62 trading days (12 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 26 of 26 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 62 trading days (12 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7916US Soybean Production Corn BeltQUEUED
The signal detected 26 of 26 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 61 trading days (12 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 26 of 26 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 61 trading days (12 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7297US Ethanol Industry 40 Of US CornQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 41 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 41 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7704US Hog Inventory Iowa Nc Mn ILQUEUED
The signal detected 25 of 26 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 25 of 26 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7706US Pork Processing Plants Smithfield JbsQUEUED
The signal detected 25 of 26 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 25 of 26 major market crashes (96%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7662US Beef Processing Plants Tyson Jbs CargQUEUED
The signal detected 21 of 26 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 59 trading days (12 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 21 of 26 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 59 trading days (12 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7663US Beef exports China Mexico Japan KoreaQUEUED
The signal detected 21 of 26 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 59 trading days (12 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 21 of 26 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 59 trading days (12 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6262US COT Velocity ProxyQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 56 trading days (11 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 56 trading days (11 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z90017US Regime Asymmetric RoleQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 302 trading days (60 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 302 trading days (60 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7862US Driving Demand Consumer CommercialQUEUED
The signal detected 22 of 24 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 78 trading days (16 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B- | article A+
BacktestThe signal detected 22 of 24 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 78 trading days (16 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B- / article A+. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z5094US Term StructureQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 24 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 225 trading days (45 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 24 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 225 trading days (45 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7365US Cotton Belt Texas Dominant Ga Ms Al CQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 27 major market crashes (56%), with an average early warning of 78 trading days (16 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 27 major market crashes (56%), with an average early warning of 78 trading days (16 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85289US Realized Vol z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 22 of 25 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 45 trading days (9 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 22 of 25 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 45 trading days (9 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85635US Tic Japan YoY z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 22 major market crashes (64%), with an average early warning of 379 trading days (76 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 22 major market crashes (64%), with an average early warning of 379 trading days (76 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z7999US Argentine Brazilian crush PlantsQUEUED
The signal detected 25 of 25 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 90 trading days (18 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 25 of 25 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 90 trading days (18 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3809Zb Tlt Flow ProxyQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 21 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 73 trading days (15 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Positioning | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 21 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 73 trading days (15 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Positioning. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10315US Mentor RulesQUEUED
The signal detected 25 of 25 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 27 trading days (5 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 25 of 25 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 27 trading days (5 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10314US Trader PulseQUEUED
The signal detected 25 of 25 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 27 trading days (5 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 25 of 25 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 27 trading days (5 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6266US Real vs BreakevenQUEUED
The signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 157 trading days (31 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 157 trading days (31 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85393US Momentum 20d z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 25 of 25 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 26 trading days (5 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 25 of 25 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 26 trading days (5 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6263US Open Interest SurgeQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 25 trading days (5 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 25 trading days (5 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z2424US 2s5s SteepenerQUEUED
The signal detected 11 of 21 major market crashes (52%), with an average early warning of 182 trading days (36 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 11 of 21 major market crashes (52%), with an average early warning of 182 trading days (36 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85394US Realized Vol 60d z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 20 of 25 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 96 trading days (19 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 20 of 25 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 96 trading days (19 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40063US Term Premium z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 17 of 21 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 17 of 21 major market crashes (81%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z32972US Rates Pid Peer SynergyQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 35 trading days (7 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 35 trading days (7 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3808Zb 30y 10y SpreadQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 204 trading days (41 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 204 trading days (41 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3970Zb Term Premium InvQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 204 trading days (41 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 24 major market crashes (58%), with an average early warning of 204 trading days (41 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85392US Move Overlay z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 21 major market crashes (90%), with an average early warning of 43 trading days (9 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 21 major market crashes (90%), with an average early warning of 43 trading days (9 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85288US Move Vol Regime z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 21 major market crashes (90%), with an average early warning of 43 trading days (9 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 21 major market crashes (90%), with an average early warning of 43 trading days (9 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40072US Breakeven Inflation z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 21 major market crashes (86%), with an average early warning of 83 trading days (17 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 21 major market crashes (86%), with an average early warning of 83 trading days (17 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z100075US Hawkes ExogeneityQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 20 trading days (4 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 20 trading days (4 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z20959US Winter Wheat Hrw Srw Phenology Aware Weather CompositeQUEUED
The signal detected 23 of 26 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 36 trading days (7 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 23 of 26 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 36 trading days (7 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z32955US Energy GIRF ResponderQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 7 trading days (1 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 7 trading days (1 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z33052US Vs Jgb basis z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 21 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 180 trading days (36 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 21 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 180 trading days (36 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z40122US Acmtp10 z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 20 of 25 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 51 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 20 of 25 major market crashes (80%), with an average early warning of 51 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6267US Vol GapQUEUED
The signal detected 20 of 24 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 20 of 24 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 38 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3971Zb HY OAS SafehavenQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 24 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 140 trading days (28 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 24 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 140 trading days (28 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z11263US US T010 Cpi Hot Drives US Yield 5bp ToQUEUED
The signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 325 trading days (65 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 325 trading days (65 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z11264US US T011 Qt Impacts US More Than Ty TerQUEUED
The signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 325 trading days (65 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 325 trading days (65 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z11266US US T015 Fiscal Deficit Expansion BeariQUEUED
The signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 325 trading days (65 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 11 of 24 major market crashes (46%), with an average early warning of 325 trading days (65 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z32957US Credit GIRF ResponderQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 11 trading days (2 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 11 trading days (2 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3972Zb Dfii10 Real InvQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 21 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 159 trading days (32 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 21 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 159 trading days (32 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85395US Dfii10 Overlay z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 21 major market crashes (90%), with an average early warning of 137 trading days (27 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 21 major market crashes (90%), with an average early warning of 137 trading days (27 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z20221US Gulf Refinery FireQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 18 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 32 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 18 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 32 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3968Zb Dgs30 InverseQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 24 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 136 trading days (27 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 24 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 136 trading days (27 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6268US DXY Coupling InverseQUEUED
The signal detected 20 of 24 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 166 trading days (33 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 20 of 24 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 166 trading days (33 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z1545US US 30y Velocity z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 24 of 24 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z2532US 2s5s30s ButterflyQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 21 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 159 trading days (32 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 21 major market crashes (62%), with an average early warning of 159 trading days (32 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85285US Dgs30 Yield z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 23 of 25 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 49 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer C- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 23 of 25 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 49 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer C- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6260US Yield 200-day MA StateQUEUED
The signal detected 8 of 24 major market crashes (33%), with an average early warning of 87 trading days (17 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 8 of 24 major market crashes (33%), with an average early warning of 87 trading days (17 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z100077US LPPLS Bubble RiskQUEUED
The signal detected 21 of 24 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer D | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 21 of 24 major market crashes (88%), with an average early warning of 48 trading days (10 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer D / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102216US Nyfed Rrp Inv z-scoreQUEUED
archetype: Regime Specialist | article F
Backtestarchetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer F / article F. · tested 2026-09-28
30Y BOND MARKET·Credit & Rates
Included in playbooks — coming soon
5Y Note (FV)
0/23 LIVE
Z5352Fv Swt D8+ Long CycleQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 88 trading days (18 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 88 trading days (18 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6244FV Tail AsymmetryQUEUED
The signal detected 8 of 18 major market crashes (44%), with an average early warning of 92 trading days (18 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | TruthSayer B+ | article B
BacktestThe signal detected 8 of 18 major market crashes (44%), with an average early warning of 92 trading days (18 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z9190Fv Shock Cluster StateQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 13 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 158 trading days (32 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B+ | article B-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 13 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 158 trading days (32 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B+ / article B-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6249FV Auction Proxy YoYQUEUED
The signal detected 10 of 14 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 480 trading days (96 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Positioning | TruthSayer B | article B+
BacktestThe signal detected 10 of 14 major market crashes (71%), with an average early warning of 480 trading days (96 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Positioning. TruthSayer B / article B+. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z6242FV COT Velocity ProxyQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 54 trading days (11 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 54 trading days (11 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z9186Fv Liquidity StateQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10112Fv Mentor RulesQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z9201Fv Network Role BridgeQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10109Fv StabilityQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z10110Fv Trader PulseQUEUED
The signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Macro Monetary | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 19 of 19 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 30 trading days (6 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Macro Monetary. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3811Zf Kw 5y Term PremiumQUEUED
The signal detected 13 of 18 major market crashes (72%), with an average early warning of 125 trading days (25 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer B- | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 13 of 18 major market crashes (72%), with an average early warning of 125 trading days (25 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer B- / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesForecast & Regime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3973Zf Dgs5 InverseQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 18 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 192 trading days (38 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 18 major market crashes (67%), with an average early warning of 192 trading days (38 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85302Fv Realized Vol z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 19 major market crashes (84%), with an average early warning of 42 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 19 major market crashes (84%), with an average early warning of 42 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z11257Fv Fv T008 Fv Yield Curve Flattening SignQUEUED
The signal detected 9 of 17 major market crashes (53%), with an average early warning of 391 trading days (78 weeks). archetype: Cross Asset Leading | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 9 of 17 major market crashes (53%), with an average early warning of 391 trading days (78 weeks). archetype Cross Asset Leading. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102340Fv 5s30s Slope z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 19 major market crashes (74%), with an average early warning of 54 trading days (11 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 19 major market crashes (74%), with an average early warning of 54 trading days (11 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3977Zf HY OAS SafehavenQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 16 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 126 trading days (25 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 16 major market crashes (75%), with an average early warning of 126 trading days (25 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z3976Zf Fed Funds InvQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 18 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 253 trading days (51 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 18 major market crashes (83%), with an average early warning of 253 trading days (51 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85297Fv Dgs5 Yield z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 14 of 19 major market crashes (74%), with an average early warning of 170 trading days (34 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C+ | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 14 of 19 major market crashes (74%), with an average early warning of 170 trading days (34 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C+ / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z32984Fv LPPLS Bubble RiskQUEUED
The signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 40 trading days (8 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C | article A
BacktestThe signal detected 15 of 16 major market crashes (94%), with an average early warning of 40 trading days (8 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C / article A. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z1546Fv US 5y Velocity z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 54 trading days (11 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 18 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 54 trading days (11 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z32946Fv Dollar GIRF ResponderQUEUED
The signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 6 trading days (1 weeks). archetype: Regime Specialist | regime cluster: Volatility | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 16 of 16 major market crashes (100%), with an average early warning of 6 trading days (1 weeks). archetype Regime Specialist. regime cluster Volatility. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z102335Fv Acmrny 5y 2y Path Acceleration z-scoreQUEUED
The signal detected 18 of 19 major market crashes (95%), with an average early warning of 45 trading days (9 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | regime cluster: Crisis | TruthSayer C | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 18 of 19 major market crashes (95%), with an average early warning of 45 trading days (9 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Crisis. TruthSayer C / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Z85405Fv Dfii10 Overlay z-score InvQUEUED
The signal detected 12 of 13 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 147 trading days (29 weeks). archetype: Crisis Detector | TruthSayer C- | article A-
BacktestThe signal detected 12 of 13 major market crashes (92%), with an average early warning of 147 trading days (29 weeks). archetype Crisis Detector. regime cluster Other. TruthSayer C- / article A-. · tested 2026-09-30
5Y NOTE (FV) MARKET·Credit & RatesRegime Signal
Included in playbooks — coming soon
Not investment advice. All live signals on this page are published with full methodology and limitations disclosures. Back to all signals