Drawdown Analysis

Every market, one lens

A living read of 53 futures markets, each against its own drawdown history.

Every market is scored on its own-history severity percentile so the readings are comparable across assets. Click any card to see the full drawdown trajectory, phase labels, cross-market drivers, and base-rate context for that market. Readings as of 11/10/2026.

Growth equity indices + commodities

16 markets. Ordered by own-history severity — the most painful readings for each market relative to its own history sit at the top.

Cyclic (seasonal + production-driven)

21 markets. Ordered by own-history severity — the most painful readings for each market relative to its own history sit at the top.

MWWheat (Minneapolis)

-49.1%

Crisis lowHistoric · 100%ile

NGNatural Gas

-85.7%

Crisis lowHistoric · 100%ile

LHLean Hogs

-74.8%

Crisis lowHistoric · 99%ile

WWheat (CBOT)

-70.3%

Crisis lowHistoric · 98%ile

KWWheat (Kansas City)

-56.6%

Crisis lowExtreme · 97%ile

LBRLumber

-46.3%

Crisis lowSevere · 90%ile

CCorn

-40.6%

Crisis lowSevere · 79%ile

SBSugar (Raw)

-32.3%

Stressed lowSevere · 77%ile

RRRough Rice

-34.6%

Stressed lowStressed · 68%ile

SMSoybean Meal

-30.6%

Crisis lowStressed · 60%ile

LCLive Cattle

-14.3%

Stressed lowStressed · 55%ile

FCFeeder Cattle

-11.2%

Normal pullbackStressed · 55%ile

CTCotton

-47.2%

Stressed lowStressed · 53%ile

RBRBOB Gasoline

-1.6%

Normal pullbackStressed · 52%ile

CCCocoa

-64.1%

Crisis lowNormal · 45%ile

BOSoybean Oil

-0.6%

At cycle highsNormal · 42%ile

SSoybeans

-23.5%

Cyclical lowNormal · 40%ile

LSUSugar (White)

-21.6%

Normal pullbackNormal · 31%ile

KCCoffee (Arabica)

-31.7%

Cyclical lowNormal · 20%ile

HOHeating Oil / ULSD

-2.0%

Normal pullbackNormal · 19%ile

LGOLow-Sulphur Gasoil

-3.4%

Normal pullbackNormal · 16%ile

Mean-reverting (FX, rates, vol)

16 markets. Ordered by own-history severity — the most painful readings for each market relative to its own history sit at the top.

SOFRSOFR

0 / 100

Crisis lowHistoric · 100%ile

VXVIX Futures

0 / 100

Crisis lowHistoric · 99%ile

JYJapanese Yen

1 / 100

Crisis lowHistoric · 98%ile

TU2-Year Treasury Note

4 / 100

Tail lowExtreme · 93%ile

CDCanadian Dollar

4 / 100

Tail lowExtreme · 91%ile

FV5-Year Treasury Note

6 / 100

Extreme lowSevere · 89%ile

TY10-Year Treasury Note

7 / 100

Extreme lowSevere · 86%ile

EBLEuro Bund

8 / 100

Extreme lowSevere · 84%ile

CUEuro FX

11 / 100

Edge lowSevere · 77%ile

US30-Year Treasury Bond

12 / 100

Edge lowSevere · 77%ile

MPMexican Peso

86 / 100

Edge highStressed · 72%ile

DXUS Dollar Index

78 / 100

Edge highStressed · 56%ile

JGBJapanese Gov Bond

29 / 100

Band-middleNormal · 42%ile

SFSwiss Franc

30 / 100

Band-middleNormal · 39%ile

BPBritish Pound

63 / 100

Band-middleNormal · 26%ile

ADAustralian Dollar

49 / 100

Band-middleNormal · 2%ile